Evaluation findings

AuthorCambridge Econometrics, Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion (European Commission), Eurocentre, ICF
Pages54-130
Study supporting the evaluation of promoting social inclusion, combating poverty and any
discrimination by the European Social Fund (Thematic Objective 09)
54
5. EVALUATION FINDINGS
This section presents findings by evaluation criterion in the form of specific answers for
each evaluation question and sub-question, with due reference to the evidence sources
and annexes where more detail is provided.
5.1. Question 1 Effectiveness: How effective was the ESF in
achieving the objectives of Thematic Objective 9?
The assessment of effectiveness reviews the extent to which ESF support to social
inclusion contributed to the promotion of social inclusion, combatting poverty and
discrimination. The assessment considers the translation of national strategies and
policy contexts i nto TO9 operations, the changes that they generated , and the factors
that facilitated and hindered their implementation.
The assessment draws on all qualitative and quantitative information coll ected an d
analysed as part of the study including an extraction from the ESF monitoring data. The
assessment was supported by answers to five sub-evaluation questions, which are
presented below.
EQ 1.1 Effectiveness: To what extent did the financial implementation and
the achievement of the expected outputs progress according to the targets
set in the progr ammes? What were the main factors involved (delays in
implementation, ESF absorption…)?
Sub-question 1.1 reviews the progress made in the financial implementation of ESF
support for TO9.
The project selection rate was 71%, which is rather low considering the
advanced stage of the programming period, but in pace wit h other TOs.
Overall, there were delays in the financial implementation of ESF support to social
inclusion. These delays are reflected in the low project selection rate only about 71%
of planned funds were committed to social inclusion operations by the end of December
201838. The absorption r ate was similarly low for other TOs suggesting that similar
challenges were encountered across the ESF39.
The project selection rate varied across the Member States and was especially low in
Italy (48%), Greece (50%) and Bulgaria (54%):
In Italy (2014IT05SFOP001) the low project selection rate appears to have been
driven by changes to the national anti-poverty strategy40 and related legislation
that changed the means-testing rules and the thresholds, leading to an increase
38 The methodology and estimates by Member State can be found in Annex 4.
39 European Commission (2019). Synthesis Report of ESF 2018 A nnual
Implementation Reports (AIRs), Final report.
40 The national anti-poverty strategy changed names from 'Support for a ctive
inclusion’ - SIA in нлмсз to ‘Inclusion income’ -REI in нлму an d finally to ‘Citizen
income’ - RdC in 2019.
Study supporting the evaluation of promoting social inclusion, combating poverty and any
discrimination by the European Social Fund (Thematic Objective 09)
55
in the number of persons targeted41. Implementation was further delayed due to
the long negotiation periods and coordination efforts between the Ministry of
Labour and Social Policies and other administrations/actors at multiple
governance levels. Beneficiary organisations also required time to understand
and adapt to the new approaches.
In Greece, significant delays in 13 regional OPs were attributed to difficulties with
internal management42.
In Bulgaria, the delays in implementation were attributed to an insufficient level
of coordination and lack of clarity in the definition of responsibilities between the
institutions managing the ESF and ERDF funds that supported the operations.
The country-based anal yses identified several other reasons for delays in the
implementation of TO9 operations. These reasons included complexity in the
requirements of the ESF framework, which requires involvement of multiple actors and
coordination. Several examples include:
Spain: The perceived complexity of requirements for the new ESF framework
(mainly related to audit procedures and data collection systems), delays in the
designation of intermediate bodies and overlaps with the previous programming
period all contributed to delays in implementation;
Slovenia: Coordinating between the six ministries involved in the implementation
of TO9 was a challenge in particular with regards to the budget allocation (some
budgets had to be cut/scaled down) in the initial phase of implementation; and
Portugal: Difficulties in coordinating the national government bodies and the MAs
in the operationalisation of types of operations that were already not part of the
implementation routineй The ESF’s administrative demands in terms of map ping
and procedures for contracting also contributed to delays.
A lack of expertise, capacity or relevant p revious experience among beneficiaries was
also noted (e.g. IT, LV, ES, PL). The country-based analyses (e.g. IT, PL, PT, LV, ES)
suggest that the introduction of administrative procedures to the programming period
contributed to a lower project selection rate. Lastly, it is important to highlight that
some Managing Authorities exhibit different patterns in how fund are all ocated some
do it in phases and some allocate the full amounts early in the programmi ng period.
Over time these differences should be less critical.
Figure 4 below plots the project selection rate against another measure of the absorption
rate of TO9 funds, namely the share of planned funds that was declared as expenditures
by beneficiaries to the Man aging Authorities. A linear trend between the two m easures
evidently suggests a correlation: a Member State that has allocated a higher share of
planned funds is al so likely to have more funds declared as spent to th e Managing
41 Annual Implementation Report, 2018 from the National OP in Italy
(2014IT05SFOP001), pg 78.
42 There were planned funds but no allocated funds for one OP in Greece
(2014GR05M9OP001). The planned amount was 57.3 million, which was small
relative to the overall planned amount of 1.2 billion and is therefore unlikely to be
a significant driver of the overall project selection rate in Greece. Th e project
selection rate across OPs in Greece varied between 31% and 63%
Study supporting the evaluation of promoting social inclusion, combating poverty and any
discrimination by the European Social Fund (Thematic Objective 09)
56
Authority or Authorities43. Yet, there are some Member States where the two measures
are not aligned (e.g. IE, HU, HR, MT). The country-based analyses suggest that the
declaration of expenditures by beneficiaries to the Managing Authorities in these
Member State were delayed.
Figure 4. Project selection rate and the sha re of planned funds that were declared
expenditures for ESF support for social inclusion, by Member State
Source: SFC2014, based on AIR2018, data extracted on December 10, 2019; Note: A linear trend
line based on the data is presented in the figure. *The project selection rate is the share of planned
funds for TO9 operations that were allocated by Managing Authorities.
Overall, the gen eration of outputs for social inclusion operations has been
high, often exceeding the targets set for the end of the program ming period.
There is a regulatory obligation to set targets where relevant. Most Managing Authorities
set targets for programme-specific indicators rather common indicators, to reflect
progress made towards the specific objectives of their actions. In effect, targets were
set for almost all44 recorded values of programme-specific outputs. Output-level
achievement rates were esti mated as the share of recorded values for programme-
specific outputs against the targets set for the end of the programming period 45.
The overall output-level achievement rate by the end of December 2018 was estimated
to be 99%46. In some Member States, the number of outputs generated from TO9
operations surpassed the targets leading to achievement rates greater than 100%. This
43 The underlying figures can be obtained in Annex 4.
44 Targets were set for 1,023 of 1,025 recorded values of programme -specific outputs.
45 More information on the methodology and the findings can be found in Annex 4.
46 More information can be found in Annex 4.

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